LEADER 00000cam a22004697a 4500 
001    13560251 
008    121023s2012    xxua||||||||||001 0|eng|c 
020    9781594204111|qhbk 
020    9780143124009|qpbk 
041 0  eng 
082  4 519.542|223 
084    00A09|2msc 
084    91C|2msc 
092 0  519|bengelska 
100 1  Silver, Nate,|d1978-|4aut 
245 14 The signal and the noise :|bwhy so many predictions fail -
       but some don't /|cNate Silver 
264  1 New York :|bPenguin Press,|c2012 
300    534 s.|bill 
504    Includes bibliographical references and index 
505 0  A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter 
       than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and 
       L's -- For years yov've been telling us that rain is green
       -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to deovn in three 
       feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less 
       wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- 
       If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy 
       skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you 
520    Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball 
       performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's 
       breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. 
       Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines 
       the world of prediction 
650  0 Forecasting 
650  0 Bayesian statistical decision theory 
650  0 Knowledge, Theory of 
650  0 Forecasting|xMethodology 
650  0 Forecasting|xHistory 
650  7 Prognoser|xmetodik|2sao 
650  7 Prognoser|xhistoria|2sao 
650 12 Forecasting 
650 12 Forecasting|xmethods 
650 22 Bayes Theorem 
650 22 Knowledge 
907 00 130524